Yankees vs. Guardians: Analysis of each team’s pitching situation for the decisive ALDS Game 5 after rain

NEW YORK — The New York Yankees and Cleveland Guardians have one more day to decide on an ALDS matchup. The winner-take-all game 5 was postponed due to rain on Monday night. The game is set for Tuesday at 4:07 PM EST. The winner will face the Houston Astros in the ALCS, starting on Wednesday. The loser goes home. “If you had asked me to come back, in March we just signed up for Game 5 in New York to go to the ALCS. I would have been jogging to New York.” Coach Terry Francona said after Game 4. Game 5 is the second postponement of ALDS. As the second match was also postponed, the second and fourth matches were held for three days in a row. Game 5 made 4 games in 4 days. The postponement gives both the bullpen and both teams a bit of extra rest, so we’ll take a look after the rain for each team’s pitching situation as they head into Game 5 on Tuesday before either a win or a home game. Starting Pitchers: Nestor Cortes vs. TBA right-handers Jameson Taillon and Aaron Civale were originally scheduled to start Game 5 on Monday night, but rain has allowed the Yankees and Guardians to use Game 2 starters Nestor Cortes and Shane Bieber in Game 3. Tuesday off. Cleveland will announce Game 5 starting pitchers on Tuesday. Yankees confirmed Cortes will start Monday afternoon Guardians manager Terry Francona revealed that Bieber won’t pitch again unless he reaches the ALCS, but it will be tempting to use him on a short break in Game 5. Bieber has pitched good in two postseason starts and is simply Cleveland’s best pitcher. Even on a short break, he gives the team the best chance to win Game 5 and keep playing. In general, starting pitchers who take a short break get tired early, so they hit the wall at 75-80 pitches rather than 100 pitches. Still, getting around 75 pitches from Cortes (or Bieber) is better than the alternative. Taillon and Civale were expected to remain on short leashes, so even shorter than the regular leash starters from Cortes (or Bieber) won’t change the plan much. In Game 2, Cortes kept the Guardians on two runs in five innings and dominated them in two regular season starts (three runs in 12 1/3 innings). That means he’ll take a short break and the Guardians will see him for a second time within a week. Fatigue and familiarity can return the pendulum in favor of the batter. “I know who he is, I trust his makeup and he’s going to go out and compete really well,” Yankees manager Aaron Boone said of Cortes. His game 2 starts. “What he’s really good at is that he likes to play. He’s competitive and I know he’s not afraid. He’ll put his heads together and let the chips fall,” said Bieber, after a brief break from his career. He has never been, and the Guardians have treated him with caution after a shoulder injury last season. He made 17 of his 31 starts during the regular season with extra breaks. He held the Yankees two runs in 5 2/3 innings in Game 2 and was great after Giancarlo Stanton allowed a two-run homer in the first inning. Bullpen Condition: The much-needed break for the bullpen in Cleveland, New York was much better going into Game 5 than New York. The Guardians didn’t use setup man Trevor Stephan or James Karinchak or closer Emmanuel Clase in games 3 and 4, so all three take a three-day break and head to Game 5. It sets them up to spend multiple innings. Francona’s ideal pitching plan would probably be a starting pitcher (Civale or Bieber), Stephan, Karinchak, and Clase with no one else involved. They used 5 different relievers throughout the entire series (except Taillon from Game 2). Miguel Castro, Domingo Germán and Lucas Luetge are on the ALDS roster but haven’t pitched yet. Look at the number of pitches by New York’s best relievers leading to Game 5, originally scheduled for Monday. In games 2-4, Peralta became the Yankees relief pitcher to pitch for three straight days this season, and while he claimed he could play, pitching four straight days in Game 5 seldom happens in baseball. Peralta will take a break and face Cleveland’s top left power threats, Josh Naylor and Andrés Giménez, again. He has faced them in every game in the series and has a hitless record. Holmes didn’t pitch from a save situation in the controversial third game and could cost the Yankees the game. Boone has since said that Holmes will only be used in emergencies as he is recovering from a recent shoulder injury. That said, Boone said that despite Holmes pitching in Game 4, he will be able to play in Game 5. Now the rain has given him a day off anyway. “That’s right.” Boone talked about using Holmes on the bag in the 4th and 5th games on Sunday. consecutive days. “Tomorrow, yes, at the winning and losing house, yes.” Gerrit Cole, who threw 110 pitches in seven innings in Game 4 on Sunday, told Boone he could start on Monday. Boone said he would have been hesitant to use him the day after departure. But now that Cole is resting, it’s more realistic to use him for innings outside the bullpen. If you push to push, don’t be surprised to see Cole on the mound on Tuesday. The Yankees were poised to start Game 5 on Monday with some bullpen issues given the workload of their top aid team recently. Now they are resting. They’re resting, though Stephen, Karinchak and Class haven’t rested as little as they did for Cleveland. On paper, the Guardians still have a bullpen advantage given their workload, but that advantage won’t be as great as Tuesday’s.
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