Belarusian military will have little effect on the war in Ukraine

TALLIN, ESTONIA (AP) — Belarusian President Aleksandr Lukashenko’s remarks this week rekindled fears that Russian forces could join the Russian army in the war against Ukraine, but authoritarian leader is sending troops in despite Russian pressure seem reluctant to do so. Moscow.Russia has already used its longtime ally Belarus as a staging site for sending troops and missiles to Ukraine. Analysts say that if Belarus’s small and inexperienced army intervenes, additional troops could help Moscow block some key traffic routes, but it would not significantly improve Russian President Vladimir Putin’s ability on the battlefield. “The unwillingness to fight Ukraine means that Lukashenko will not give Putin anything but Belarusian soldiers,” Ukrainian military analyst Ole Zdanov told The Associated Press. “He informed Putin that Lukashenko was ‘I will help but not fight’.” Lukashenko announced Monday that he and Putin had agreed to form a joint “regional unit” and that thousands of Russian soldiers would be stationed in Belarus. Lukashenko did not provide details on where the troops would be deployed, and Russia’s motives were not immediately clear, but the remarks came while Moscow was struggling to replenish troops lost on the battlefield. He told Ukraine “their dirty hands, even a meter of our territory.” Defense Minister Victor Krenin also warned Ukraine not to provoke Belarus, saying “we do not want to fight”, but a day later stressed that the allies were for defense. A group of seven industrial powers said on Tuesday that Kyiv is not planning any military action against Belarus. He said Moscow “is trying to bring Belarus directly into this war.” Continuing the story Olexi Danilov, chairman of Ukraine’s National Security and Defense Commission, told Ukrainian television on Tuesday that Belarus is “held hostage by Russia”. Belarus is unfounded. An authoritarian leader, Lukashenko ruled Belarus with an iron fist for 28 years, relying on Russian political and economic support. Moscow has poured billions of dollars into supporting Lukashenko’s Soviet-style, state-controlled economy with cheap energy and loans. And in 2020, the Kremlin helped Lukashenko survive the largest mass protest in the country’s history after the presidential election, which the opposition and the West accused of rigging. However, Lukashenko has repeatedly rejected speculation that Belarus will send its own soldiers to fight alongside Russia. Karbalevich said Lukashenko was trying to negotiate while keeping Russian nuclear weapons on the mainland and creating a joint force, alluding to the weakness of his army. It is located about 90 km (56 miles) north of Kyiv, the capital of Ukraine. Ukrainian military analyst Zhdanov said troops from Belarus would move west and target the cities of Lviv and Lutsk, which are major transport hubs for Western munitions. The weapons have reached the east and south and the Ukrainian forces are successfully carrying out a counterattack, which can only be done in Belarus,” said Zhdanov. However, Lukashenko’s army is relatively immature, with only 45,000 men, including conscripts. The Belarusian military conducts regular training, but has not participated in combat since World War II. According to Zhdanov, Minsk could deploy an army of 20,000 at most, Zhdanov said. His limited army was involved, saying it was necessary to defend the borders of neighboring Belarus, such as Poland, Lithuania and Latvia. Lukashenko said. Earlier this year, the Kremlin’s campaign in Ukraine “continued” and he even suggested he could mediate peace talks, arguing the need to end the war as soon as possible. Kabralevich said Lukashenko understands that Russia is losing the war and he is “trying to crawl away from Russia as much as possible”. This is already twice as high as last year. “After the massive protests in 2020, when millions of people demanded the resignation of the Belarusian leader, Lukashenko was afraid to arm the Belarusians. Karvalevich said it could trigger another domestic explosion. And Alessin said, “Belarusians are not mentally ready to fight Ukrainians. Unlike Russians, Belarusians have absolutely no hostility towards Ukrainians and do not understand the point of this special operation. This is an order to shoot Ukrainians.” could be a mass cause of non-compliance,” he said.___Dasha Litvinova contributed this report.___Follow the AP report on the war at Please.
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