After the Crimean Bridge attack, there are many theories, but few practical answers.

Black smoke rises from an explosion on the Kerch Bridge between Crimea and Russia last Saturday. AFP via Getty Images Hide Caption Toggle Caption AFP via Getty Images Black smoke rises from the fire on the Kerch Bridge, which connects Crimea to Russia, after an explosion on Saturday. AFP via Getty Images KYIV, Ukraine — Nearly a week after the explosion damaged an important bridge in Crimea, Russian and Ukrainian authorities are still exchanging accusations and arguing conflicting theories about who caused the explosion. there is. But a definitive answer is still elusive. On Wednesday, the Russian Federal Security Agency arrested eight men suspected of being involved in an elaborate plan to destroy the Crimean Bridge. Investigators said Ukrainians, Russians and Armenians transported tons of disguised explosives to several countries before the attack on Saturday. Russia says a driver unrelated to terrorism drove a truck bomb into the bridge at one time to maximize damage. However, Mikhail Podolyak, chief aide to Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky, says Ukrainian intelligence believes the Russian forces planned the attack as an excuse to escalate the war in Ukraine. “The Crimean incident provides a convenient alibi for all incidents in which Russian forces were defeated in southern Ukraine,” Podolyak told Ukrainian state television. There are many theories, but little certainty. There are many credible theories about who was responsible for the October 8 attack and how it was done, both in Ukraine and abroad. But, says Andrew Barr, an impact epidemiology researcher at the University of Sheffield, “despite all the publicly available photos and videos, it’s very difficult to be certain of this.” Surveillance video posted by Russian media shows a truck driving from mainland Russia towards Crimea before the flash of light swallows a bridge. Photos posted by independent media show at least three collapsed road spans bent on a shallow water pier. A new photo posted on social media on Wednesday also shows a support pole bent from the Russian lane. The other side of the bridge resumed traffic hours after the explosion. Nick Waters, an analyst at digital forensics firm Bellingcat, rejected the popular Ukrainian theory that special naval operations destroyed the bridge from below, noting that there was little blast damage to the underside of the bridge. Unlike the undamaged floor of the bridge, satellite imagery released by Maxar Technologies shows a black road top. Shortly after the explosion, Ukrainian experts quickly dismissed claims that Ukrainian missiles had targeted the bridge. The United States and other countries that supply weapons to Ukraine have refused to provide missiles that fly that far. The FSB has posted videos of “truck inspections” and “X-rays” suspected of showing explosives. Evidence of a truck bomb – X-ray scans of the truck and cargo involved – Ukrainian journalists pointed out that the two images showed different trucks. However, some military experts believe that truck bombs are most likely the culprit. Although it is more difficult to determine who is responsible. Barr, who specializes in blast damage analysis in war zones, said, “The damage certainly matches the blast in the middle of the bridge span. Some people ask why this satellite image of #CrimanBridge shows so much damage from a single blast. So Here’s a brief Bridges 101 of possible failure mechanisms: 🧵— Andrew Barr (@andrew_barr) 9 October 2022 He found that the Crimean Bridge over several piers He says it is designed to have one part of a road floating section. When one span falls into water, it pulls the other along too. Based on how the flames were fired repeatedly at the blast site, Barr also said that the truck could cross parallel rail bridges. It is suggested that they were seriously weakened by loading a special compound that burned hot enough to ignite a passing fuel train in motion, retired military demolition expert Mika Tyry told Finnish state broadcaster YLE that the sparks and sparks match thermit bombs. The Russian military is known to use thermites, but Ukraine has been able to recover material from unexploded Russian ammunition, Barr said, “a successful attack on advanced explosives and structures guarded on time for trains.” “This suggests a well-planned military operation and not another group.” Russia launched further attacks across Ukraine following the attack on the bridge. On Wednesday, Russian state media reported that many Russians attacked the Crimea bridge as a proxy for the West surrounding Ukraine. It was suggested that the U.S. coordinated to escalate what it believes to be a war, which Ukraine did not credit for the explosion, but because of the bridge’s strategic and symbolic value to Russia, many in Ukraine celebrated it as Ukraine’s victory. They are mobilizing to the site of the explosion in Kiev on Monday. Ed Ram/Getty Ima ges hidden caption toggle caption Ed Ram/Getty Images Emergency services personnel arrive at the scene of an explosion in Kyiv on Monday. Ed Ram/Getty Images Russian President Vladimir Putin launched a series of airstrikes across Ukraine this week in response to what he called “Ukrainian terrorism” on the Crimean bridge. More than 150 rockets and drones killed 20 people on Monday and Tuesday, Zelenskyy said, and essential services were disrupted in more than half of Ukraine. “It’s not the kind of thing that Russians can throw together in a few days,” National Security Council spokesman John Kirby told CNN on Monday. “This is not retaliation, but a continuation of Putin’s design over the past few weeks, specifically targeting Ukrainian civilian infrastructure.”

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