GOP Reiterates for Arizona Senate Primary

After poor performance in the Masters’ post-primary voting, many observers concluded that the 36-year-old venture capitalist was not good enough to oust former astronaut Kelly. A Democrat close to Kelly’s campaign said Arizona shouldn’t be considered “safe” for the party this year. “We believe this is a race that is within a point in either direction and there is still a high chance that we will lose,” the man said. “And it’s important for people to understand that.” Arizona’s polls in recent elections are not always accurate. For example, in Arizona’s 2020 special election for the Senate, polls showed that Kelly had a significant, sometimes double-digit lead over the then-senator. Martha McSally was appointed to the seat in 2019. According to Reuters and Ipsos polls the day before the election, Kelly leads by 9 percentage points. However, Kelly eventually won by less than 2.5 points. One of many opportunities for Republicans seeking to secure at least one seat to dominate the narrowly divided Senate, the state has proven to be more difficult for Republicans than any other battleground in this election. The Senate Leadership Fund, a super PAC affiliated with Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell, canceled an approximately $18 million ad planned for Arizona this fall, looking forward to another state where the GOP is more likely to win more. The Super PAC’s decision to withdraw from the state (two cuts) signaled that the Masters would not be viable in the general election. However, due to the absence of the SLF, many other outside Republican groups intervened to finance advertising on behalf of the Masters. The Pro Masters Super PAC, funded in the primary by billionaire Peter Thiel, reappears in the general election, along with a new Super PAC backed by former President Donald Trump. It remains to be seen whether Thiel himself will put additional funds into Save Arizona. He put additional funds into Saving Arizona, the vehicle the Masters used to achieve the GOP nomination, but other donors have contributed to the Super PAC since the primaries. A spokesperson for Saving Arizona said it believes the Super PAC will have the resources it needs to continue appearing on television for the Masters until Election Day. While the economic situation is hurting Democrat opportunities with independent voters, the Republican base now appears to be consolidating behind the Masters after remaining fragmented in the August aftermath. 2 Basic. The Masters were supported in the primaries by Trump, who narrowly lost his state in 2020 and publicly clashed with the Republican governor. Doug Duchy. In addition to Trump, who held a state rally earlier this month, the Masters also got Republican help, not MAGA persuasion, during the campaign. Ducey and former Vice President Mike Pence stood with the Masters at a school selection event two days after Trump’s rally this week. Polls for the past month, including this week, have shown that the Masters have the upper hand. A nonpartisan poll conducted by Arizona company HighGround last week found the Masters trailed Kelly by less than three points. HighGround CEO Chuck Coughlin said one of the biggest changes since this summer is the move of older voters to Masters. Shortly after August, Coughlin said voters aged 65 and over were “across the country” for the second primary (the Republican primary). In the company’s most recent poll, many voters were committed to the Republican Party, which is in line with historical precedent. And while Kelly led women by 20 percentage points in the company’s poll immediately after the primary, the gap dropped to 10 points, Coughlin said. Meanwhile, the Masters are 10 points ahead of the men. “It’s going to get tighter,” Coughlin said, noting that Kelly is still beating the Masters with independent voters. “What we’re seeing is that Mark and all of the Democrats continue to perform well and win pretty well among the electorate, but they’re probably not sleeping well.” The Masters’ growing support for the Masters, as Democrats continue to spend more than Republicans, is another sign of Republicans’ slow momentum in the primary. Since the beginning of this month, Democrats have spent between $19.3 million and $9.8 million in advertising spending on Republicans two-to-one. But it is less than the advantage Democrats had in the early days of the general election, when Democrats’ advertising tripled as Republicans in the Arizona Senate primary. More than half of the Democrat’s October ad purchases come from Kelly, and his dollars are much more spent on TV than outside groups because the candidate gets discounted TV ad rates. But new spending figures show Republicans are adding as much new money to the primaries as Democrats. According to AdImpact, Republicans bought $3.2 million of new ads in Arizona last week, just over $2.7 million from Kelly’s campaign and Arizona Democrats, according to AdImpact. And Sentinel Action Fund, a super PAC associated with the conservative issue group Heritage Action for America, airs two new commercials on Saturday during an Arizona State football match against Stanford. They will also be buying a new $250,000 for advertising in Phoenix this week. This position connects Kelly with President Joe Biden while saying representatives from small businesses, the construction industry, police and border control are for the Masters. “Anyone who knows anything about Arizona knows that the race across the state has always been very close here,” said David Bergstein, spokesman for the Democratic Senate Campaign Committee. To assist the Kelly campaign in competitive races. Chris Hartline, spokesman for the National Republican Senate Committee, similarly referred to Arizona as “a tense competition,” accusing Kelly of “sucking up Joe Biden and DC.” The NRSC continues to spend money on the state. Throughout his campaign, Kelly tried to portray himself as an independent-minded senator, running TV commercials for “working with the Republicans” and saying he’s not afraid of “being on the left side.” In a discussion earlier this month, Kelly described some of Biden’s immigration policy decisions as “stupid.” A Republican who participated in the Arizona primary said that now Republican donors and activists seem to be starting to realize that “Blake has a legitimate chance to win the primary.” “Just a month or two ago, the general view of Blake was that he died in the water,” the Republican congressman said.
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